A security pact between Israel and Lebanon risks perpetuating a stalemate rather than ending the ongoing conflict with Hezbollah, according to analysts and politicians.
Regional experts argue that any deal tied to Hezbollah’s disarmament is unattainable given the group’s outright rejection of such a condition. Without Hezbollah complying, there remains political cover for Israel to maintain its military presence in southern Lebanon indefinitely.
The framework agreement leaves the Lebanese state caught between obligations it cannot fulfill and sovereignty it can’t fully reclaim due to the complex nature of Lebanon’s power-sharing system built upon sectarian divisions rather than coercion.
Analysts describe the deal as a ‘forced settlement’ imposed on Lebanon, with its army lacking both the structure and capability to enforce Hezbollah disarmament. This situation highlights the fragility of Lebanon’s stability rooted in power-sharing dynamics that may not accommodate the group’s entrenched military capabilities.
Source: Original report
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